What did the 19th century statistician and geneticist Sir Francis Galton, Charles Darwin’s cousin, do wrong? If you answered yes, you’ve just committed the famous “Galton’s fallacy”. What does this mean? Do students’ test scores tend to revert to some mean?
He tells you that experience shows students who do well on midterms slack off on their final exam, while students who do badly generally get better. Then you have a conversation with the flight instructor who does the written examinations.
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